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August 25, 2016

Six thoughts about the election 75 days out

Presidential Candidates Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton
Presidential Candidates Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton
I have never seen a presidential contest that even begins to rival Donald Trump versus the matriarch of the International Abortion Establishment, Hillary Clinton, for complexity, unpredictability, and the ever-rising level of media venom spewed toward one contestant, Mr. Trump.

Mrs. Clinton is ahead in most polls but not nearly as far as you might think. Let’s think through the contest which shall likely decide the composition of the Supreme Court for decades, 75 days out from election night.

Here are six considerations.

#1. Never, ever forget that every poll shows that Mrs. Clinton is personally deeply unpopular and not considered either honest or trustworthy.

#2. The negative impact of the overlapping scandals (private e-mailer server/Clinton Foundation] that have dogged Clinton can only worsen. Virtually every few days we learn something disconcerting about Clinton’s use of a personal email server during her tenure as Secretary of State.

#3. Kellyanne Conway, Trump’s new campaign manager, is pro-life through and through.

#4. When you read the polls, look particularly closely at the ones that include Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. Given how unhappy many people are with the Trump/Clinton choice, the numbers voting for the alternatives likely will increase.

#5. Trump is famous, or infamous, for putting little stock in the traditional ground game of identifying and getting supporters to the poll. But not the Republican National Committee.

#6. We will not know until the Election Day results are thoroughly analyzed if there really was/is a vote for Trump that traditional polling techniques are missing. If it proves to be true, the work of Pittsburgh Tribune Review’s Salena Zito will be cited and cited again.

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